Arizona Governor Race 2026
Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-11-02.
Latest poll
Katie Hobbs (Democrat)50%
Andy Biggs (Republican)45%
GrayHouse (R), fielded 2026-10-28 to 2026-10-29
Cook rating 2026-10-30 · DDHQ forecast 2026-11-02. Win chance, not vote share.
n=500 / LV; campaign-sponsored; sponsor: Elijah Norton campaign; GrayHouse (R). pollcheck.co.uk
Lead of 5 pts for Katie Hobbs in a single poll. Not a win probability.
Ratings and forecast
- Cook rating
- Likely D
- DDHQ rating
- Likely D
- DDHQ Dem win chance
- 76%
- Currently held by
- D
Candidates
- Katie HobbsDemocrat
- Andy BiggsRepublican
Poll history (16)
| Pollster | Field dates | Results | Sample / method | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrayHouse (R) | 2026-10-28 to 2026-10-29 | Katie Hobbs (Democrat) 50%Andy Biggs (Republican) 45% | n=500 / LV; campaign-sponsored; sponsor: Elijah Norton campaign; GrayHouse (R) | pollcheck.co.uk Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-28 | Katie Hobbs (Democrat) 51%Andy Biggs (Republican) 45% | n=511 / LV | pollcheck.co.uk Original release |
| HighGround | 2026-10-21 to 2026-10-25 | Katie Hobbs (Democrat) 52%Andy Biggs (Republican) 39% | n=400 / LV | pollcheck.co.uk Original release |
| RedBox (D) | 2026-10-20 to 2026-10-23 | Katie Hobbs (Democrat) 47%Andy Biggs (Republican) 42% | n=2,686 / LV; sponsor: A Fight Worth Having PAC; RedBox (D) | pollcheck.co.uk Original release |
| Highground Public Affairs* | 2026-10-06 to 2026-10-08 | Hobbs (Democrat) 51%Biggs (Republican) 34% | n=400 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| Arizona State* | 2026-08-18 to 2026-09-04 | Hobbs (Democrat) 47%Biggs (Republican) 34% | n=1,300 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| Highground Public Affairs* | 2026-08-15 to 2026-08-18 | Hobbs (Democrat) 50%Biggs (Republican) 34% | n=400 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-08-11 to 2026-08-18 | Hobbs (Democrat) 39%Biggs (Republican) 37% | n=948 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| Quantus Insights | 2026-08-14 to 2026-08-17 | Hobbs (Democrat) 49%Biggs (Republican) 43% | n=780 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights* | 2026-08-10 to 2026-08-13 | Hobbs (Democrat) 48%Biggs (Republican) 35% | n=923 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| Fabrizio/Anzalone | 2026-07-26 to 2026-07-28 | Hobbs (Democrat) 52%Biggs (Republican) 44% | n=913 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-05-12 to 2026-05-16 | Hobbs (Democrat) 40%Biggs (Republican) 38% | n=1,026 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights* | 2026-05-05 to 2026-05-07 | Hobbs (Democrat) 41%Biggs (Republican) 37% | n=996 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| TIPP** | 2026-04-20 to 2026-04-24 | Hobbs (Democrat) 48%Biggs (Republican) 38% | n=1,159 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-02-23 to 2026-02-26 | Hobbs (Democrat) 42%Biggs (Republican) 37% | n=1,023 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2026-02-11 to 2026-02-13 | Hobbs (Democrat) 40%Biggs (Republican) 38% | n=1,006 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.
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