Nevada Governor Race 2026

Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-11-02.

Latest poll

Joe Lombardo (Republican)47%

Aaron Ford (Democrat)47%

Noble Predictive Insights, fielded 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-28

Cook rating 2026-10-29 · DDHQ forecast 2026-11-02. Win chance, not vote share.

Lead of 0 pts for Joe Lombardo in a single poll. Not a win probability.

favored party inferred

Pollster	Field dates	Results	Sample / method	Source
Noble Predictive Insights	2026-10-26 to 2026-10-28	Joe Lombardo (Republican) 47%Aaron Ford (Democrat) 47%	n=487 / LV	pollcheck.co.uk Original release
Hart Research (D)	2026-10-20 to 2026-10-25	Aaron Ford (Democrat) 49%Joe Lombardo (Republican) 45%	n=950 / LV; sponsor: A More Affordable Nevada (DGA-aligned); Hart Research (D)	pollcheck.co.uk Original release
RedBox Research (D)	2026-10-20 to 2026-10-23	Aaron Ford (Democrat) 46%Joe Lombardo (Republican) 43%	n=1,407 / LV; sponsor: A Fight Worth Having PAC; RedBox Research (D)	pollcheck.co.uk Original release
Noble Predictive Insights	2026-10-07 to 2026-10-13	Lombardo (Republican) 40%Ford (Democrat) 37%	n=766 / Not reported by source	realclearpolling.com Original release
Noble Predictive Insights	2026-09-22 to 2026-09-26	Lombardo (Republican) 42%Ford (Democrat) 40%	n=708 / Not reported by source	realclearpolling.com Original release
Emerson	2026-09-05 to 2026-09-08	Ford (Democrat) 44%Lombardo (Republican) 42%	n=680 / Not reported by source	realclearpolling.com Original release
Noble Predictive Insights	2026-03-10 to 2026-03-13	Lombardo (Republican) 39%Ford (Democrat) 38%	n=845 / Not reported by source	realclearpolling.com Original release

Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.

See this race in context on the tile map, colored by poll, DDHQ or Cook.