New Hampshire Governor Race 2026
Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-11-02.
Latest poll
Kelly Ayotte (Republican)48%
Cinde Warmington (Democrat)48%
UNH, fielded 2026-10-27 to 2026-10-31
Cook rating 2026-10-29 · DDHQ forecast 2026-11-02. Win chance, not vote share.
n=2,040 / LV; primary release not located; aggregator listing. pollcheck.co.uk
Lead of 0 pts for Kelly Ayotte in a single poll. Not a win probability.
Ratings and forecast
- Cook rating
- Likely R
- DDHQ rating
- Lean R
- DDHQ Dem win chance
- 34%
- Currently held by
- R
Candidates
- Cinde WarmingtonDemocrat
- Kelly AyotteRepublican
Poll history (3)
| Pollster | Field dates | Results | Sample / method | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNH | 2026-10-27 to 2026-10-31 | Kelly Ayotte (Republican) 48%Cinde Warmington (Democrat) 48% | n=2,040 / LV; primary release not located; aggregator listing | pollcheck.co.uk Original release |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | 2026-10-20 to 2026-10-23 | Kelly Ayotte (Republican) 52%Cinde Warmington (Democrat) 42% | n=970 / LV; Rasmussen Reports (R); sponsor not supplied | pollcheck.co.uk Original release |
| Saint Anselm College | 2026-10-19 to 2026-10-20 | Kelly Ayotte (Republican) 50%Cinde Warmington (Democrat) 42% | n=1,672 / LV | 270towin.com Original release |
Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.
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