Tennessee Governor Race 2026

Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-11-02.

Latest poll

Marsha Blackburn (Republican)35%
Jerri Green (Democrat)30%
David Hatley (Independent)26%

GOTV Polling, fielded 2026-10-25 to 2026-10-26

Cook rating 2026-10-29 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-31. Win chance, not vote share.

n=1,196 / Voter type not stated; campaign-sponsored; sponsor: Hatley campaign. pollcheck.co.uk

Lead of 5 pts for Marsha Blackburn in a single poll. Not a win probability.

Ratings and forecast

Cook rating
Solid R
DDHQ rating
Likely R
DDHQ Dem win chance
7%
Currently held by
R

Cook source DDHQ source Forecast methodology

Candidates

  • Jerri GreenDemocrat
  • Marsha BlackburnRepublican

Poll history (1)

PollsterField datesResultsSample / methodSource
GOTV Polling2026-10-25 to 2026-10-26Marsha Blackburn (Republican) 35%Jerri Green (Democrat) 30%David Hatley (Independent) 26%n=1,196 / Voter type not stated; campaign-sponsored; sponsor: Hatley campaignpollcheck.co.uk Original release

Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.

See this race in context on the tile map, colored by poll, DDHQ or Cook.

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