Louisiana Senate Race 2026

Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-11-02.

Latest poll

Jamie Davis (Democrat)47%
Julia Letlow (Republican)47%

Lincoln Park Strategies, fielded 2026-10-29 to 2026-10-31

Cook rating 2026-10-30 · DDHQ forecast 2026-11-02. Win chance, not vote share.

Sample size unknown / LV; primary release not located; aggregator listing; sponsor: Louisiana Democratic Party (partisan). fredcornell.com

Lead of 0 pts for Jamie Davis in a single poll. Not a win probability.

Ratings and forecast

Cook rating
Solid R
DDHQ rating
Likely R
DDHQ Dem win chance
14%
Currently held by
R

Cook source DDHQ source Forecast methodology

Candidates

  • Jamie DavisDemocrat
  • Julia LetlowRepublican

Seat / incumbent: OPEN (Cassidy)

Poll history (4)

PollsterField datesResultsSample / methodSource
Lincoln Park Strategies2026-10-29 to 2026-10-31Jamie Davis (Democrat) 47%Julia Letlow (Republican) 47%n unknown / LV; primary release not located; aggregator listing; sponsor: Louisiana Democratic Party (partisan)fredcornell.com Original release
Hart Research (D)2026-10-28 to 2026-10-29Julia Letlow (Republican) 45%Jamie Davis (Democrat) 45%n=502 / LV; campaign-sponsored; sponsor: Davis campaign; Hart Research (D)pollcheck.co.uk Original release
Hart Research (D)2026-09-17 to 2026-09-19Julia Letlow (Republican) 48%Jamie Davis (Democrat) 44%n=500 / Hart Research Associates poll commissioned by the Jamie Davis (D) campaign; reported by KPLC/Fox 8.poliwave.com Original release
Public Policy Polling (D)2026-07-21 to 2026-07-22Julia Letlow (Republican) 41%Jamie Davis (Democrat) 37%n=518 / Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by the Jamie Davis (D) campaign; 33% landline, 67% text-to-web; initial ballot before candidate information. Reported by The Bayou Progressive (no MoE released).poliwave.com Original release

Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.

No other Louisiana races in this snapshot.

See this race in context on the tile map, colored by poll, DDHQ or Cook.

Open the polling map All races
D
Elect Democrats

An independent site dedicated to tracking 2026 midterm races and supporting Democratic candidates who fight for working families, protect fundamental rights, and strengthen our democracy.

This site is not affiliated with the Democratic National Committee (DNC), the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), or any candidate or candidate's committee. It is independently operated. Donation links lead to ActBlue, a third-party fundraising platform.

Connect

Not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee. Not affiliated with the DNC, DCCC, or DSCC.

© 2026 Elect Democrats. All rights reserved.