Nebraska Senate Race 2026
Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-11-02.
Latest poll
Pete Ricketts (Republican)50%
Dan Osborn (Independent)46%
GrayHouse, fielded 2026-10-29 to 2026-11-01
Cook rating 2026-10-30 · DDHQ forecast 2026-11-02. Win chance, not vote share.
n=534 / LV; GrayHouse (R); primary release not located; aggregator listing. pollcheck.co.uk
Lead of 4 pts for Pete Ricketts in a single poll. Not a win probability.
Ratings and forecast
- Cook rating
- Lean R
- DDHQ rating
- Lean R
- DDHQ Dem win chance
- 27%
- Currently held by
- R
Independent Dan Osborn challenge; no Democrat on ballot
Candidates
- Dan OsbornIndependent
- Pete RickettsRepublican
Seat / incumbent: Ricketts
Poll history (15)
| Pollster | Field dates | Results | Sample / method | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrayHouse | 2026-10-29 to 2026-11-01 | Pete Ricketts (Republican) 50%Dan Osborn (Independent) 46% | n=534 / LV; GrayHouse (R); primary release not located; aggregator listing | pollcheck.co.uk Original release |
| NYT/Siena | 2026-10-23 to 2026-10-29 | Pete Ricketts (Republican) 49%Dan Osborn (Independent) 43% | n=809 / LV; Dan Osborn is independent; no Democrat on ballot | nytimes.com Original release |
| YouGov | 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-29 | Pete Ricketts (Republican) 49%Dan Osborn (Independent) 49% | n=1,979 / LV; primary release not located; aggregator listing; Listed Nov 1 | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| National Public Affairs | 2026-10-25 to 2026-10-29 | Pete Ricketts (Republican) 48%Dan Osborn (Independent) 45% | n=800 / LV; National Public Affairs (R); primary release not located; aggregator listing | pollcheck.co.uk Original release |
| Echelon Insights (R) | 2026-10-16 to 2026-10-23 | Pete Ricketts (Republican) 47%Dan Osborn (Independent) 46% | n=407 / LV; sponsor: NetChoice (trade group); Echelon Insights (R) | pollcheck.co.uk Original release |
| GBAO (D) | 2026-10-18 to 2026-10-22 | Dan Osborn (Independent) 46%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 45% | n=800 / LV; sponsor: Working Class Majority PAC (pro-Osborn); GBAO (D) | pollcheck.co.uk Original release |
| Impact Research (D) | 2026-10-14 to 2026-10-20 | Pete Ricketts (Republican) 49%Dan Osborn (Independent) 47% | n=600 / LV; campaign-sponsored; sponsor: Osborn campaign; Impact Research (D) | pollcheck.co.uk Original release |
| National Public Affairs | 2026-10-02 to 2026-10-05 | Pete Ricketts (Republican) 49%Dan Osborn (Independent) 46% | n=800 / Unknown | poliwave.com Original release |
| YouGov | 2026-09-24 to 2026-10-03 | Dan Osborn (Independent) 48%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 47% | n=1,809 / Unknown | poliwave.com Original release |
| co/efficient (R) | 2026-09-28 to 2026-09-30 | Pete Ricketts (Republican) 48%Dan Osborn (Independent) 43% | n=1,113 / Unknown | poliwave.com Original release |
| SurveyUSA/Grant Forbes LLC | 2026-09-08 to 2026-09-13 | Dan Osborn (Independent) 46%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 42% | n=503 / SurveyUSA mixed-mode blended sample (web panel, SMS-to-web, and landline IVR); 503 Nebraska statewide likely voters. | poliwave.com Original release |
| GBAO (D) | 2026-09-03 to 2026-09-08 | Dan Osborn (Independent) 47%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 46% | n=800 / Unknown | poliwave.com Original release |
| Impact Research (D) | 2026-08-09 to 2026-08-13 | Dan Osborn (Independent) 47%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 47% | n=600 / Unknown | poliwave.com Original release |
| Tavern Research (D) | 2026-05-08 to 2026-05-11 | Dan Osborn (Independent) 47%Pete Ricketts (Republican) 42% | n=1,165 / Unknown | poliwave.com Original release |
| Impact Research (D) | 2026-02-02 to 2026-02-05 | Pete Ricketts (Republican) 48%Dan Osborn (Independent) 47% | n=600 / Unknown | poliwave.com Original release |
Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.
More Nebraska races
See this race in context on the tile map, colored by poll, DDHQ or Cook.
Open the polling map All races