Kansas Governor Race 2026

Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-11-02.

Latest poll

Cindy Holscher (Democrat)48%
Ty Masterson (Republican)47%

The New York Times / Siena College, fielded 2026-10-27 to 2026-11-01

Cook rating 2026-10-30 · DDHQ forecast 2026-11-02. Win chance, not vote share.

n=736 / LV; sponsor: The New York Times; released 2026-11-01; MOE ±4.4; field dates per aggregator listings.. sri.siena.edu

Lead of 1 pts for Cindy Holscher in a single poll. Not a win probability.

Ratings and forecast

Cook rating
Toss Up
DDHQ rating
Lean R
DDHQ Dem win chance
36%
Currently held by
D

Cook source DDHQ source Forecast methodology

Candidates

  • Cindy HolscherDemocrat
  • Ty MastersonRepublican

Poll history (8)

PollsterField datesResultsSample / methodSource
The New York Times / Siena College2026-10-27 to 2026-11-01Cindy Holscher (Democrat) 48%Ty Masterson (Republican) 47%n=736 / LV; sponsor: The New York Times; released 2026-11-01; MOE ±4.4; field dates per aggregator listings.sri.siena.edu Original release
AtlasIntel2026-10-28 to 2026-11-01Cindy Holscher (Democrat) 50%Ty Masterson (Republican) 46%n=2,038 / LV; primary release not located; aggregator listingpollcheck.co.uk Original release
Survey1602026-10-27 to 2026-11-01Cindy Holscher (Democrat) 49%Ty Masterson (Republican) 48%n=1,267 / LV; primary release not located; aggregator listingpollcheck.co.uk Original release
YouGov2026-10-26 to 2026-10-29Ty Masterson (Republican) 50%Cindy Holscher (Democrat) 49%n=2,092 / LV; primary release not located; aggregator listingpollcheck.co.uk Original release
Emerson2026-10-26 to 2026-10-28Ty Masterson (Republican) 50%Cindy Holscher (Democrat) 46%n=800 / LVemersoncollegepolling.com Original release
Washington Post/SSPG2026-10-22 to 2026-10-26Cindy Holscher (Democrat) 51%Ty Masterson (Republican) 45%n=801 / LVpollcheck.co.uk Original release
CNN/SSRS2026-10-20 to 2026-10-26Ty Masterson (Republican) 50%Cindy Holscher (Democrat) 45%n=838 / LVpollcheck.co.uk Original release
Global Strategy Group (D)2026-10-18 to 2026-10-21Cindy Holscher (Democrat) 47%Ty Masterson (Republican) 47%n=600 / LV; campaign-sponsored; sponsor: Holscher campaign; Global Strategy Group (D)pollcheck.co.uk Original release

Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.

See this race in context on the tile map, colored by poll, DDHQ or Cook.

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