D

South Carolina Governor Race 2026

Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-11-02.

Latest poll

Alan Wilson (Republican)54.1%
Jermaine Johnson (Democrat)39.1%

Trafalgar, fielded 2026-10-31 to 2026-11-01

Cook: Solid RDDHQ: 26% D

Cook rating 2026-10-29 · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-31. Win chance, not vote share.

n=1,091 / LV; primary release not located; aggregator listing; Trafalgar (R). pollcheck.co.uk

Lead of 15 pts for Alan Wilson in a single poll. Not a win probability.

Ratings and forecast

Cook rating
Solid R
DDHQ rating
Lean R
DDHQ Dem win chance
26%
Currently held by
R

Cook source DDHQ source Forecast methodology

Candidates

  • Jermaine JohnsonDemocrat
  • Alan WilsonRepublican

Poll history (5)

PollsterField datesResultsSample / methodSource
Trafalgar2026-10-31 to 2026-11-01Alan Wilson (Republican) 54.1%Jermaine Johnson (Democrat) 39.1%n=1,091 / LV; primary release not located; aggregator listing; Trafalgar (R)pollcheck.co.uk Original release
NYT/Siena2026-10-19 to 2026-10-26Alan Wilson (Republican) 51%Jermaine Johnson (Democrat) 44%n=707 / LV270towin.com Original release
Targoz Market Research2026-10-16 to 2026-10-25Alan Wilson (Republican) 51%Jermaine Johnson (Democrat) 41%n=895 / LV; sponsor: South Carolina Policy Council270towin.com Original release
The Citadel2026-10-14 to 2026-10-25Alan Wilson (Republican) 42%Jermaine Johnson (Democrat) 31%n=890 / LV270towin.com Original release
RasmussenField dates not suppliedAlan Wilson (Republican) 51%Jermaine Johnson (Democrat) 43%n unknown / LV; primary release not located; aggregator listing; Rasmussen (R); Listed Nov 2; field dates not statedrealclearpolling.com Original release

Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.

See this race in context on the tile map, colored by poll, DDHQ or Cook.

Open the polling map All races
D
Elect Democrats

An independent site dedicated to tracking 2026 midterm races and supporting Democratic candidates who fight for working families, protect fundamental rights, and strengthen our democracy.

This site is not affiliated with the Democratic National Committee (DNC), the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC), or any candidate or candidate's committee. It is independently operated. Donation links lead to ActBlue, a third-party fundraising platform.

Connect

Not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee. Not affiliated with the DNC, DCCC, or DSCC.

© 2026 Elect Democrats. All rights reserved.