Alaska Governor Race 2026
Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-11-02.
Latest poll
Alaska Survey Research, fielded 2026-10-23 to 2026-10-25
Cook rating 2026-10-29 · DDHQ forecast 2026-11-02. Win chance, not vote share.
n=1,068 / LV; final ranked-choice round. First round: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 51%, Bernadette Wilson 31%. Ranked-choice top-four general; field per aggregators; confirm with Alaska Division of Elections. pollcheck.co.uk
Lead of 6 pts for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins in a single poll. Not a win probability.
Ratings and forecast
- Cook rating
- Lean D
- DDHQ rating
- Lean D
- DDHQ Dem win chance
- 69%
- Currently held by
- R
Ranked-choice top-four general; field per aggregators; confirm with Alaska Division of Elections
Candidates
- Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsDemocrat
- Bernadette WilsonRepublican
- Dave BronsonRepublican
- Treg TaylorRepublican
Poll history (3)
| Pollster | Field dates | Results | Sample / method | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research | 2026-10-23 to 2026-10-25 | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (Democrat) 53%Bernadette Wilson (Republican) 47% | n=1,068 / LV; final ranked-choice round. First round: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 51%, Bernadette Wilson 31%. Ranked-choice top-four general; field per aggregators; confirm with Alaska Division of Elections | pollcheck.co.uk Original release |
| The New York Times / Siena College | Field dates not supplied | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (Democrat) 54%Bernadette Wilson (Republican) 46% | n=610 / LV; sponsor: The New York Times; released 2026-11-01; MOE ±5.0; field dates per aggregator listings; field dates not stated. Final ranked-choice round; first round Kreiss-Tomkins 50, Wilson 31, Taylor 10, Bronson 9. | sri.siena.edu Original release |
| AtlasIntel | Field dates not supplied | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (Democrat) 52%Bernadette Wilson (Republican) 34%Dave Bronson (Republican) 9%Treg Taylor (Republican) 4% | n unknown / LV; primary release not located; aggregator listing; Listed Nov 2; first round only; no final-round figure supplied; field dates not stated | realclearpolling.com Original release |
Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.
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