Alaska AK-AL House Race 2026
Latest sourced poll, full poll history, Cook and DDHQ ratings, and candidates. Research snapshot checked 2026-11-02.
Latest poll
Begich (Republican)51%
Hill (Independent)49%
Data for Progress, fielded 2026-10-08 to 2026-10-16
Cook rating 2026-10-16 (retained) · DDHQ forecast 2026-10-31. Win chance, not vote share.
n=694 / Not reported by source. realclearpolling.com
Lead of 2 pts for Begich in a single poll. Not a win probability.
Ratings and forecast
- Cook rating
- Likely R
- DDHQ rating
- Lean R
- DDHQ Dem win chance
- 27%
- Currently held by
- R
Candidates
- BegichRepublican
- HillIndependent
Seat / incumbent: Begich (R)
Poll history (7)
| Pollster | Field dates | Results | Sample / method | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress | 2026-10-08 to 2026-10-16 | Begich (Republican) 51%Hill (Independent) 49% | n=694 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| NY Times/Siena | 2026-09-22 to 2026-10-01 | Begich (Republican) 53%Hill (Independent) 47% | n=504 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| Alaska Survey Research** | 2026-08-20 to 2026-08-23 | Begich (Republican) 51%Hill (Independent) 39% | n=1,872 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| Alaska Survey Research** | 2026-08-02 to 2026-08-05 | Begich (Republican) 54%Hill (Independent) 47% | n=1,371 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| Data for Progress | 2026-07-28 to 2026-08-04 | Begich (Republican) 47%Hill (Independent) 37% | n=605 / Not reported by source | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| The New York Times / Siena College | Field dates not supplied | Begich (Republican) 52%Hill (Democrat) 48% | n unknown / LV; sponsor: The New York Times; released 2026-11-01; MOE not supplied; field dates per aggregator listings; field dates not stated. Final ranked-choice round; first round Begich 48, Hill 40, Hafner 6, McDermott 6. Listing source; sample size and field dates not supplied. | realclearpolling.com Original release |
| AtlasIntel | Field dates not supplied | Begich (Republican) 47%Hill (Independent) 47% | n unknown / LV; primary release not located; aggregator listing; First round only; no final-round figure supplied; field dates not stated | realclearpolling.com Original release |
Polls via secondary aggregators, not independently audited. Not a live feed.
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